Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.002999 0.003138 0.003280 0.003436 0.003602 0.003773 0.003965
2025-02-23 0.002731 0.002938 0.003157 0.003406 0.003684 0.003983 0.004333
2025-03-02 0.002600 0.002851 0.003123 0.003442 0.003807 0.004215 0.004706
2025-03-09 0.002473 0.002751 0.003060 0.003430 0.003863 0.004359 0.004975
2025-03-16 0.002362 0.002660 0.002996 0.003407 0.003898 0.004473 0.005204
2025-03-23 0.002252 0.002562 0.002918 0.003358 0.003895 0.004535 0.005367
2025-03-30 0.002158 0.002479 0.002850 0.003316 0.003894 0.004596 0.005526
2025-04-06 0.002097 0.002430 0.002820 0.003318 0.003943 0.004716 0.005763
2025-04-13 0.001989 0.002319 0.002711 0.003215 0.003856 0.004660 0.005765
2025-04-20 0.001942 0.002282 0.002688 0.003218 0.003903 0.004773 0.005992
2025-04-27 0.001919 0.002272 0.002700 0.003264 0.004003 0.004958 0.006322
2025-05-04 0.001862 0.002217 0.002652 0.003231 0.003998 0.005003 0.006461
2025-05-11 0.001815 0.002175 0.002619 0.003217 0.004019 0.005083 0.006654
2025-05-18 0.001765 0.002127 0.002578 0.003190 0.004021 0.005138 0.006813
2025-05-25 0.001743 0.002115 0.002582 0.003223 0.004103 0.005306 0.007142
2025-06-01 0.001705 0.002080 0.002554 0.003212 0.004124 0.005387 0.007346
2025-06-08 0.001665 0.002042 0.002521 0.003191 0.004131 0.005447 0.007519
2025-06-15 0.001618 0.001992 0.002471 0.003146 0.004101 0.005453 0.007608
2025-06-22 0.001575 0.001948 0.002428 0.003108 0.004080 0.005468 0.007713
2025-06-29 0.001550 0.001926 0.002413 0.003109 0.004113 0.005566 0.007950
2025-07-06 0.001490 0.001855 0.002331 0.003015 0.004006 0.005449 0.007836
2025-07-13 0.001468 0.001837 0.002320 0.003018 0.004041 0.005547 0.008077
2025-07-20 0.001462 0.001838 0.002335 0.003060 0.004133 0.005736 0.008475